Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 3.050294 3.642877 4.304743 5.096561 6.015741 7.046729 8.288174
2025-11-16 2.208437 2.966781 3.902808 5.133905 6.700104 8.614766 11.119832
2025-11-23 1.689747 2.506015 3.600650 5.155629 7.283540 10.065773 13.945358
2025-11-30 1.322822 2.140461 3.319035 5.107348 7.709439 11.306451 16.590060
2025-12-07 1.013117 1.778826 2.958975 4.860792 7.785099 12.032291 18.562270
2025-12-14 0.828389 1.565333 2.770922 4.819220 8.123116 13.129024 21.129143
2025-12-21 0.690435 1.397597 2.620285 4.800809 8.473807 14.254167 23.815140
2025-12-28 0.627249 1.347561 2.653510 5.080275 9.319548 16.205013 27.921819
2026-01-04 0.553585 1.261932 2.607829 5.211458 9.922941 17.811096 31.602941
2026-01-11 0.501654 1.208268 2.610148 5.423482 10.679511 19.722413 35.920353
2026-01-18 0.434967 1.109763 2.509936 5.427992 11.060043 21.020984 39.303197
2026-01-25 0.361409 0.980128 2.325915 5.243102 11.065839 21.659308 41.590687
2026-02-01 0.298677 0.863005 2.151525 5.058790 11.062064 22.298035 43.967356
2026-02-08 0.260379 0.796983 2.076999 5.070325 11.439925 23.662461 47.749497
2026-02-15 0.227802 0.738040 2.008371 5.083944 11.820550 25.059011 51.689848
2026-02-22 0.196349 0.674330 1.917309 5.033866 12.060715 26.200735 55.229689
2026-03-01 0.160136 0.587139 1.752625 4.789779 11.857682 26.451052 57.076241
2026-03-08 0.138732 0.538887 1.678325 4.748534 12.090412 27.586523 60.719429
2026-03-15 0.121259 0.498368 1.617178 4.730299 12.370738 28.837280 64.672400
2026-03-22 0.116299 0.498877 1.669526 5.006092 13.354485 31.626667 71.911802
2026-03-29 0.106781 0.480825 1.665881 5.135561 14.005520 33.754223 77.924643
2026-04-05 0.100490 0.473005 1.691059 5.344834 14.867025 36.394101 85.161287
2026-04-12 0.089236 0.442903 1.643485 5.349284 15.227685 37.961842 90.235200